
I guess I can't complain too much as I'm only down about $30 over these two tough days. I have been playing only ok and have had some marginal spots that could've gone either way.
I also found another cool Poker Tracker add on. It's called PokerEv and gives you a lot of cool stats like Poker Tracker but the best feature is that it graphs your winnings versus your expected winnings when all in. This basically allows you to determine if you are playing bad or just running bad when all in. Here is an example:
So this graph shows that over the 5600 hands that I have played since I have been home from Vegas, I have been all in and called 42 times. Then from there it is pretty straight forward. The red line represents my expected winnings and the blue line is actual winnings. When the blue line is below the red line, it means I'm running below expectation, aka running bad, and vice versa. I'm only running about $100 below expectation so I'm running just about at my expectation rate.
Here are some noteworthy hands from the last two days:
Almost Folded
This guy is a regular 2+2er and plays a very loose aggressive style. I felt if I were to 3 bet him, there was a good chance he would fold, so I felt this was a good way to get some value from my hand. When I use this line, I almost always check raise any flop. When he called, I was pretty sure he was on an over pair, as a set wouldn't smooth call a draw heavy flop like that. So it was basically down to JJ, QQ, or KK. I am ahead 2/3 of the time in this case, so I have to call, but I really thought I was going to see QQ. Luckily he had KK and I scooped a nice one.
Hate these bets
This one was probably pretty bad but I talked myself into shoving for a couple of reasons. My hand was very disguised as I raised from the cut off and then checked this flop. It's tough for the average 1/2 player to put me on an overpair here, plus it could've been a misclick. I also just didn't think someone would honestly think they could get value with that hand from the action I had taken, but I've seen people make those huge overbets before with huge hands, so I should've folded.
I am in the process of trying to satellite into the Sunday Million, but if I don't, I'm not sure if I will play in it. I might play another cash session if I don't get to play the million so there might be another update...
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